Rise of the Euro and Struggles of the Yen: France’s First-Round Election Results

Key Takeaways

  • 💶 The euro rose after the first round of France’s snap election, with the far-right party winning but by a smaller margin than expected.
  • 📉 Yen struggled against a weak dollar due to Japan’s revised first-quarter growth figures showing a larger shrinkage.
  • 🇺🇸 Dollar slightly fell against a basket of currencies amid U.S. inflation cooling and expectations of a Fed interest rate cut in September.
  • 🌐 Sterling, Aussie, and New Zealand dollar saw minor gains against the dollar.
  • 📉 Yen’s decline attributed to stark interest rate differentials with the U.S. and concerns about Japan’s economy, prompting expectations of BoJ intervention.
  • 🇨🇳 Chinese yuan also weakened against the dollar due to interest rate differentials, with PMI data suggesting challenges for China’s economy.
  • 🗳️ Far-right parties in France have performed well in the first round of elections
  • 🇫🇷 National Rally, led by Marine Le Pen, is leading the polls
  • 📉 President Emmanuel Macron’s party has seen a decrease in support
  • 💬 The results reflect the growing popularity of far-right ideologies in France
  • 💶 Euro strengthened after France’s first-round vote
  • 🗳️ Yen facing challenges in the currency market
  • 🗳️ Far-right Rassemblement National and allies received over a third of the votes in the French elections’ first round
  • 🇫🇷 President Macron’s coalition ranked third with 20.7%, while the left-wing Nouveau Front Populaire alliance got 28.1% in the initial estimates
  • 🛑 Macron urged voters to block the far right in the second round and to come together in a democratic and republican rally
  • ⚠️ Prime Minister Attal warned voters against giving any votes to the far right, emphasizing the risk of them winning an absolute majority
  • 🗳️ Left-wing parties called for candidates ranked third to withdraw to support higher-placed candidates to beat the far right in the second round
  • 👥 Les Républicains party did not give instructions to their voters for the second round, expressing concerns about far-left dominance and chaos under the far right
  • 📊 Outcome of the new legislature will depend on the results of the second round, with 577 districts to choose between two best-placed candidates
  • 📈 Macron called snap elections after RN’s strong showing in the European Parliament elections, causing political turmoil and uncertainty in France and Europe
  • 🗣️ Defiant Macron stood by his decision to call snap elections despite criticism, warning voters of the potential risks of a far-right or hard-left win

Far-Right Surge in France’s Snap Election

  • Far-right parties in France, particularly National Rally led by Marine Le Pen, have shown a strong performance in the first round of elections.
  • The rise of far-right ideologies in France is evident as the far-right party has gained significant support.
  • President Emmanuel Macron’s party has experienced a decrease in support, reflecting a shift in the political landscape towards far-right ideologies.
  • Macron and other political figures are urging voters to unite against the far right in the second round of elections to prevent a potential victory.
  • The outcome of the second round will determine the composition of the new legislature, with various parties strategizing to defeat the far right.

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