UBS Lowers US Dollar Targets and Suggests Selling into Strength

Key Takeaways: 💵 UBS downgraded its long-term US dollar targets 📉 Currency analysts recommend fading the USD rebound in early September 📊 VIX volatility decreased but FX implied volatility remains high in carry pairs 💹 USD could see a near-term rebound due to positive seasonal patterns 🌍 UBS downgraded USD outlook into end-2024 and 2025 … Read more

RBI Support and Global Factors Drive Rupee to Record Lows

Key Takeaways: 💱 Indian rupee dropped to a record low of 83.98 to the U.S. dollar 🏦 Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is actively supporting the currency to prevent further devaluation 🌎 Negative global cues impacted Indian equities and currencies 📉 Weakness in U.S. equities affected Asian and European markets 📈 Odds of a 50-basis-point … Read more

IPO Market Booms in August, Safe-Haven Yen Rallies as US Jobs Test Looms

Key Takeaways 💴 Safe-haven Japanese yen strengthened while riskier currencies like Aussie weakened 📉 Poor U.S. manufacturing data caused worry about the economy 📈 Dollar draws safety bids despite concerns about U.S. economy 🌐 Cryptocurrencies also declined 💰 Odds of Federal Reserve interest rate cut increased to 38% 💰 Yen surged as investors sought safe-haven … Read more

Understanding the strength of CHF: BoA Securities analysis

Key Takeaways: 💪 Consensus trade expected Swiss Franc weakness 📈 USD/CHF 0.1% higher, up 1.3% YTD 🔄 Year has seen significant FX weakness in H1, recovery in H2 🇨🇭 Switzerland has factors for FX weakness, but CHF not weakening as expected 📉 Below expected Swiss CPI inflation in August, stable on monthly basis 📈 Swiss … Read more

Dollar Hits Two-Week Highs as Yen Takes Center Stage

Key Takeaways: 💵 Dollar near two-week high ahead of U.S. payrolls data 🇯🇵 Yen breaks losing streak after Bank of Japan governor’s comments 📉 Euro and sterling edging lower against the dollar 📈 Dollar index up at 101.80, highest in two weeks 📊 Markets pricing in 69% chance of 25 bps Fed rate cut 🇦🇺 … Read more