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Key Takeaways:
US dollar rose before inflation report, impacting euro and yuan
Dollar index traded higher at 106.410
Expected US annual inflation at 2.7% in November
Core inflation expected at 3.3% monthly basis
Market predicts 88% chance of 25bp Fed rate cut next week
EUR/USD slipped ahead of European Central Bank meeting
USD/CHF rose with expectations of rate cut from Swiss National Bank
USD/CNY climbed as China considers allowing yuan to weaken
GBP/USD traded lower at 1.2731
EUR/USD weakens due to firm US Dollar ahead of US inflation data and ECB interest rate meeting
US Dollar Index climbs above 106.50 against major currencies
Expectations for US CPI data to show an increase in annual inflation
Impact of inflation data not expected to change Fedβs interest rate action in December
EUR/USD outlook remains bearish, near 1.0500 with resistance at 1.0565 and support at 1.0330
Measurement of inflation through CPI data shows US Dollar bullish with high readings
CPI data release: Wed Dec 11, 2024 at 13:30 GMT, consensus 3.3%
Fed maintains dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment, focus on taming inflation
Forward-looking statements contain risks and uncertainties, invest cautiously
Chinese authorities are considering weakening the yuan to boost exports
A weaker yuan may also help offset economic impact of tariffs imposed by the US
Impact of a weakened yuan could lead to global market volatility
However, concerns about potential currency war and instability remain
Dollar strengthened after reports of China considering weaker yuan
Offshore yuan dropped, affecting global markets
Chinaβs potential currency move jolted markets ahead of US inflation data
Futures on S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 fluctuated
S&P 500 saw record highs but traders waiting for details on Trumpβs agenda
Other key events this week include Bank of Canada rate cut, ECB and Swiss National Bank decisions
Individual stock movers in European markets
GameStop Corp. rose on surprise profit, Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. dropped
Brent crude futures rose on reports of potential new sanctions on Russiaβs oil trade
Inflation and Currency Market Trends
US dollar rising showcases market anticipation for US inflation report
Impact of expected US annual inflation at 2.7% in November affecting euro and yuan
Core inflation forecasted at 3.3% on a monthly basis
Market predicts high likelihood of a 25bp Fed rate cut next week
EUR/USD weakened ahead of European Central Bank meeting due to firm US Dollar and ECB interest rate concerns
USD/CHF rose with speculations of a rate cut from Swiss National Bank
USD/CNY climbed as China mulls over allowing yuan depreciation
Global Market Reactions
Concerns arise regarding potential currency war and instability amidst Chinaβs considerations for a weaker yuan
Weakened yuan may lead to global market volatility, impacting offshore markets
Offshore yuanβs drop due to Chinaβs potential currency maneuver jolting global markets
Futures on major indices fluctuated amidst uncertainties in global markets and currency movements
Brent crude futures rose with reports of potential new sanctions on Russiaβs oil trade
Stock Market Movements and Corporate News
Individual stock movers in European markets, with GameStop Corp. rising on surprise profit and Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. dropping
Economic Insights and Market Events
Federal Reserve maintains focus on taming inflation amidst upcoming US data release
US CPI data set for Wednesday, with an expected 3.3% increase
Caution advised in investments due to inherent risks in forward-looking statements
Key events involve Bank of Canada rate decision, ECB, and Swiss National Bank meetings