Key Takeaways:
- πΆ Euro sees biggest weekly fall against US dollar in two months
- π French government instability affecting France’s fiscal situation
- π French markets see biggest weekly jump in premium for government debt since 2011
- π¦ Bank stocks in France tumble due to instability and fiscal concerns
- π Euro suffers when political instability widens spreads in Europe
- π«π· French Finance Minister warns of financial crisis risk if far-right or far-left win elections
- π± Euro’s weakness driving dollar higher
- π¦ US sees inflow of funds due to high U.S. yields compared to other regions
- πΊπΈ Federal Reserve projecting only one rate cut this year
- π U.S. consumer sentiment deteriorates in June
- π΅ Dollar strength linked to euro weakness and U.S. interest rates
- π BOJ holds interest rates, eyes potential rate hike in July
- π BOJ interventions total $62 billion in response to yen decline
- πͺ Bitcoin falls to $65,453
- π₯ Significant gains for the far right in the European Union-wide elections
- π Moderate conservatives reinforced their position as the largest bloc, with 190 seats
- πͺ European Conservatives and Reformists and Identity and Democracy (ID) now control 134 seats
- π Far right would constitute the second-largest bloc in the European Parliament if united
- π Renew Europe and Greens/EFA coalition lost seats in the elections
- π± Left in the European Parliament alliance slightly increased its strength
- π«π· France’s neo-fascist far right led by Marine Le Pen topped the elections
- π©πͺ Germany also saw a surge in its far right with the AfD winning close to 16% of the vote
- βοΈ Attention shifting to Italy where Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Brothers of Italy party emerged victorious in the elections
- π€ Far-right parties showing willingness to work with EU institutions
- π° Media coverage attempting to normalize far-right movements but raises concerns about EU’s direction
- π Significant gains for the far-right have been confirmed in the EU-wide elections
- πͺπΊ The European Parliament will tilt emphatically to the right with the increase in radical and far-right formations
- π Renew Europe and Greens/EFA coalition have faced losses in seats, while the Left alliance has slightly increased its strength
- ποΈ Far-right formations in France, Germany, and Italy have seen significant gains in the elections
- π Shift towards toning down traditional Euroscepticism amongst the far-right in Europe
- π€ EU key players seem receptive to normalizing accommodation with the far-right
Political Instability Rattles Euro and US Dollar:
The Euro experienced its biggest drop against the US dollar in two months as French government instability impacted the country’s fiscal situation. This instability also caused French markets to see a significant increase in the premium for government debt, leading to a tumble in bank stocks. The political turmoil is widening spreads in Europe, affecting the strength of the Euro. The French Finance Minister even warned of a potential financial crisis if extreme political factions were to win elections.
Far-Right Gains in European Elections:
The recent European Union-wide elections resulted in significant gains for far-right and neo-fascist groups across different countries. France, Germany, and Italy saw substantial victories for far-right parties. Marine Le Pen’s neo-fascist far-right group in France emerged as the victor, while the Alternative for Germany (AfD) gained power with a notable share of the vote. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and her Brothers of Italy party also made gains in Italy. The European Parliament is expected to lean towards the right with the rise of radical and far-right formations, as traditional Euroscepticism among these groups seems to be toned down. There is a growing willingness among far-right parties to collaborate with EU institutions, sparking concerns about the direction the EU may be heading towards.